SPDR S&P 500 ETF ETF Prediction and Forecast [SPY]

AI-generated source summary

The SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) has been rated as a sell candidate since November 20, 2025, with a score of -2.257, indicating a downgraded status. The 3-month trend suggests a potential change ranging from 4.92% to 11.84% upwards. The 12-month analysis projects a change of 17.03%, with a potential price fluctuation between $655.57 and $812.07. On the last trading day, SPY closed at $652.56, experiencing a 1.53% decline from $662.72. The daily fluctuation was 3.63%, ranging from $651.92 to $675.56. Trading volume increased by 68 million shares, totaling 153 million shares, which is noted as a potential early warning. Over the past 52 weeks, SPY's high was $689.70 and its low was $481.80. Currently, the price is 5.38% below its 52-week high. Technical indicators show negative signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages, contributing to a negative forecast. A general sell signal is noted from the relationship between the short-term and long-term averages. Resistance levels are identified at $666.92 and $671.82. A sell signal was issued on October 29, 2025, leading to a 5.07% decline. The 3-month MACD also currently shows a sell signal. The ETF maintains very low risk due to controlled movements and good liquidity. Fibonacci resistance is at $653.02, with support at $647.24. Weekly volatility is 2.00%. The analysis concludes with a negative evaluation, predicting weak performance in the short term, despite underlying positive trends, and recommends a sell position with an expected open price for Friday, November 21st, 2025 at $660.01.

AI-generated summary based on the source content.

Evidence and evaluation progress

1. Original source published

   21 Nov 2025, 04:48 UTC

   The analyst published the original source item.

2. First prediction resolved

   24 Nov 2025, 14:30 UTC

   The first evaluable outcome in this case reached a terminal result.

3. Case evaluation completed

   24 Nov 2025, 14:30 UTC

   All evaluable predictions in this case reached terminal outcomes.

4. Source recorded by Tahlil Plus

   18 May 2026, 20:23 UTC

   The public source was preserved as the evidence record for this case.

5. Market predictions extracted

   18 May 2026, 20:48 UTC

   1 eligible signal linked to this case.

6. Outcome tracking started

   02 Jul 2026, 02:14 UTC

   Tahlil Plus began monitoring the extracted predictions.