Bitcoin Can't Find a Floor. Here's Where It Actually Stops.
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Mark Moss23 Jun 2026, 19:00 UTC
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The video analyzes Bitcoin's price movements using historical data and on-chain metrics to identify potential bottoms and buying opportunities. Key indicators discussed include the percentage of supply in profit, the hash ribbon (representing Bitcoin's network hash rate), and the cost basis of coins acquired over the last two years. The analysis highlights that when these indicators align with specific patterns, particularly when a significant portion of the market is 'underwater' (below its acquisition cost) and miners are capitulating, it historically signals a potential buying opportunity. The 200-week moving average is presented as a critical 'generational line,' with prices historically finding significant support or accumulating at or below this level. The data presented suggests that at historical lows (when Bitcoin's price drops significantly relative to its cost basis), buying opportunities have emerged, leading to substantial returns over the subsequent 6 months, 1 year, and 2 years. The current price action is interpreted in this context, with the presenter suggesting that the market is currently in a 'deep value territory' where buying opportunities may be present, supported by the historical performance of these indicators.
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If you miss out on the top 10 days of performance in Bitcoin, you are likely to miss out on ALL the positive price action. This is why I don’t try to time the market, but save in BTC and hold for the long term.
Watch this video where I break down volatility: https://youtu.be/Z_vlwus19-8?si=DdRR_b8wnpxBLGh8
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Mark Moss
Tahlil Plus independently records and evaluates public market predictions. Extraction may be AI-assisted and results follow the Tahlil Plus methodology. This information is not financial advice.
