Home Depot Stock Prediction and Forecast [HD]

AI-generated source summary

Home Depot (HD) was categorized as a 'Sell Candidate' by our system on November 10, 2025, receiving a score of -3.938. Since this designation, the stock has experienced a 9.17% decline over 7 days, equating to an average daily loss of 1.31%. The stock has breached a falling short-term trend, and any upward reactions towards $352.76 are considered a secondary exit opportunity. The current 3-month trend indicates a potential decline of 12.47%, with a projected return range from 8.23% to 0.482%. Over a 12-month horizon, our analysis suggests a -3.66% change, placing the price between $313.37 and $404.94. The last trading day, November 18, 2025, saw HD close at $336.48, down 6.02% from $358.03, marking the fifth consecutive daily decline and a total 12.16% decrease over the past 10 days. Trading volume increased by 5 million shares, totaling approximately $3.41 billion, coinciding with falling prices, which may signal increased risk. The stock is currently 23.42% below its 52-week high of $439.37. Recent Q3 results indicated sales exceeding expectations but profits falling short, driven by 'homeowner fatigue,' reduced large projects, and stagnant housing activity. This triggered a broad market sell-off, contributing to near-term pressure. Sentiment is expected to be influenced by upcoming housing data and mortgage rates. Long-term risks include a prolonged renovation slowdown and persistent consumer caution. Technical signals are mixed: MACD shows a Sell signal, Pivots a Sell signal from 23 days ago, Bollinger a Buy signal from 1 day ago, Short Moving Average a Buy signal from 12 days ago, Long Moving Average a Sell signal from 40 days ago, and Cross MA7/MA25 a Buy signal from 37 days ago. Long-term signals include Short MA Sell (43 days ago), Long MA Sell (20 days ago), and Cross MA25/MA100 Buy (15 days ago). The stock exhibits low overall risk despite a weekly volatility of 2.23%. The P/E ratio stands at 22.89. Insider trading data shows a negative Insider Power of -13.875, with insider sales outpacing purchases in the last 100 transactions (199,742 shares sold vs. 152,759 shares bought). Our analysis maintains a negative evaluation for Home Depot, having upgraded it from a Strong Sell to a Sell candidate, with an anticipated open price of $340.43 on November 19, 2025, starting trading at $340.43.

AI-generated summary based on the source content.

Evidence and evaluation progress

1. Original source published

   19 Nov 2025, 04:37 UTC

   The analyst published the original source item.

2. First prediction resolved

   25 Nov 2025, 20:30 UTC

   The first evaluable outcome in this case reached a terminal result.

3. Case evaluation completed

   25 Nov 2025, 20:30 UTC

   All evaluable predictions in this case reached terminal outcomes.

4. Source recorded by Tahlil Plus

   18 May 2026, 20:23 UTC

   The public source was preserved as the evidence record for this case.

5. Market predictions extracted

   18 May 2026, 20:48 UTC

   1 eligible signal linked to this case.

6. Outcome tracking started

   02 Jul 2026, 02:11 UTC

   Tahlil Plus began monitoring the extracted predictions.