In this episode, Nik breaks down Bitcoin’s drop below $100,000, why key trend lines matter, and how TBL Liquidity flipped negative ahead of the move. He covers the failed $108,000 level, the critical support zones near $96.000 and $87,000, the rise in bond volatility, and tightness in the repo marke

AI-generated source summary

Bitcoin has experienced an 8% decline this week, currently trading at $96,500, testing a supporting trend line connecting the August 2024 low with the Liberation Day price action in April of the same year. A break below this orange trend line could lead to further declines toward the green trend line, currently around $87,000, which connects October 2023 with the summer 2024 low. Resistance at $108,000 has been a key level. The failure to hold above this level signals a loss of upward momentum. The proprietary TBL liquidity indicator has shown a roll over, signaling a sell. While a potential catalyst for a bullish reversal could be a reversal in bond volatility the bullish divergence has been nullified, The government shutdown ending could provide $200-$300 billion into the economy in reserves giving some support into the price.

AI-generated summary based on the source content.

Evidence and evaluation progress

1. Original source published

   15 Nov 2025, 01:05 UTC

   The analyst published the original source item.

2. Source recorded by Tahlil Plus

   18 May 2026, 20:23 UTC

   The public source was preserved as the evidence record for this case.

3. Market predictions extracted

   18 May 2026, 20:47 UTC

   1 eligible signal linked to this case.

4. Outcome tracking started

   02 Jul 2026, 01:22 UTC

   Tahlil Plus began monitoring the extracted predictions.

5. First prediction resolved

   02 Jul 2026, 01:22 UTC

   The first evaluable outcome in this case reached a terminal result.

6. Case evaluation completed

   02 Jul 2026, 01:22 UTC

   All evaluable predictions in this case reached terminal outcomes.