Prediction Case File
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Bitcoin just broke below $100K again and sentiment is as bad as it was after the FTX collapse—except this time, Bitcoin is still near six figures. In this episode of No Second Best, Hurley breaks down why 2025 feels like a bear market for Bitcoin, even as ETFs accumulate, long-term holders slowly bl

1 extracted signal · 1 resolved · 0 still active

Swan Bitcoin profile imageSwan Bitcoin14 Nov 2025, 03:20 UTC
Video preview for Bitcoin just broke below $100K again and sentiment is as bad as it was after the FTX collapse—except this time, Bitcoin is still near six figures. In this episode of No Second Best, Hurley breaks down why 2025 feels like a bear market for Bitcoin, even as ETFs accumulate, long-term holders slowly bl
Signals
1
Eligible signals in this source
Open
0
Still being tracked
Resolved
1
Evaluable outcomes
Successful
0
Canonical correct result
Failed
1
Canonical failed result
Resolved success
0%
Open and excluded signals omitted
Source overview

AI-generated source summary

Bitcoin recently dropped to $98,000, creating brutal sentiment similar to that seen after the FTX collapse. Despite poor sentiment, Bitcoin has maintained the $100,000 level for 188 days. While Bitcoin's price is weak, a Czech central bank made $1M BTC purchase and President Trump ended the longest US government shutdown. Square has enabled Bitcoin payments for its 4 million merchants and Cash App has made Bitcoin payments available using USD balance. Preston Pish notes widespread frustration in the Bitcoin community, as long-term holders are selling but there has been no significant euphoria to previous ATH. This is because The broader business cycle will eventually turn, bringing with it renewed liquidity, manufacturing strength, and lower rates leading to greater returns from Bitcoin.

AI-generated summary based on the source content.

Case timeline

Evidence and evaluation progress

  1. Original source published

    The analyst published the original source item.

  2. Source recorded by Tahlil Plus

    The public source was preserved as the evidence record for this case.

  3. Market predictions extracted

    1 eligible signal linked to this case.

  4. Outcome tracking started

    Tahlil Plus began monitoring the extracted predictions.

  5. First prediction resolved

    The first evaluable outcome in this case reached a terminal result.

  6. Case evaluation completed

    All evaluable predictions in this case reached terminal outcomes.

Extracted intelligence

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Swan Bitcoin

Tracked signals
100
Historical success
24.3%
Methodology & disclosure

Tahlil Plus independently records and evaluates public market predictions. Extraction may be AI-assisted and results follow the Tahlil Plus methodology. This information is not financial advice.