Oracle Stock Prediction and Forecast [ORCL]

AI-generated source summary

The analysis of Oracle Corporation (ORCL) indicates a prevailing short-term bearish outlook, despite some contradictory elements within the report. On November 12, 2025, the stock was designated as a 'Sell Candidate' with a score of -2.828, having experienced a -3.88% decline on its last trading day, closing at $226.99. Over the preceding ten days, the stock saw a total decrease of -17.55%, accompanied by increased trading volume on falling prices, signaling heightened risk. Technical indicators, including both short-term and long-term Moving Averages, are presenting sell signals, with the long-term average positioned above the short-term, suggesting a bearish crossover. A sell signal was generated from a pivot top point on September 10, 2025, leading to a subsequent -30.87% drop, with further declines anticipated until a new bottom pivot is established. Additionally, the 3-month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicates a sell signal. From a fundamental perspective, Oracle faces scrutiny regarding its AI buildout and valuation amidst aggressive capacity expansion and tech-sector cash crunch concerns. While strong year-to-date gains from cloud revenue and AI contracts provide a positive long-term foundation, short-term volatility, valuation concerns, and institutional selling are expected to contribute to profit-taking. The stock has an immediate support level at $226.13 and a resistance level at $256.89. The P/E ratio stands at 51.56, with the next earnings report expected on December 8, 2025, with a consensus estimate of $1.63. Insider trading activity over the last 100 transactions shows a positive 'Insider Power' ratio of 75.549, indicating net buying, which contradicts the general bearish sentiment. Based on the negative signals and anticipated weak performance, an inferred target price of $220.00 is set, with a calculated failure bound at $240.65.

AI-generated summary based on the source content.

Evidence and evaluation progress

1. Original source published

   13 Nov 2025, 04:38 UTC

   The analyst published the original source item.

2. First prediction resolved

   13 Nov 2025, 14:30 UTC

   The first evaluable outcome in this case reached a terminal result.

3. Case evaluation completed

   13 Nov 2025, 14:30 UTC

   All evaluable predictions in this case reached terminal outcomes.

4. Source recorded by Tahlil Plus

   18 May 2026, 20:23 UTC

   The public source was preserved as the evidence record for this case.

5. Market predictions extracted

   18 May 2026, 20:48 UTC

   1 eligible signal linked to this case.

6. Outcome tracking started

   02 Jul 2026, 02:13 UTC

   Tahlil Plus began monitoring the extracted predictions.