Bitcoin is showing early signs of a major move as volatility spikes and short-term holders begin capitulating. In this video, I break down the key on-chain metrics, including Capital Flow Momentum, Coindays in Loss for Short-Term Holders, and my Volatility Fractals indicator, to explain what’s happe

AI-generated source summary

The analysis indicates that while Bitcoin has experienced some short-term volatility and might face a minor retracement, the overall long-term bullish trend remains intact. Key support levels around $100,000 are holding, suggesting that buyers are stepping in. The current short-term trend is cautiously bearish due to the proximity of resistance around $115,000. However, a decisive break above this resistance could confirm a continuation of the bullish thesis. Conversely, a breakdown below $95,000 would invalidate the short-term bullish outlook and suggest a deeper retracement. The prevalence of blue readings on the capital flow momentum indicator suggests that capital is still entering the system, supporting the bullish narrative.

AI-generated summary based on the source content.

Evidence and evaluation progress

1. Original source published

   11 Nov 2025, 22:30 UTC

   The analyst published the original source item.

2. First prediction resolved

   14 Nov 2025, 12:00 UTC

   The first evaluable outcome in this case reached a terminal result.

3. Case evaluation completed

   14 Nov 2025, 12:00 UTC

   All evaluable predictions in this case reached terminal outcomes.

4. Source recorded by Tahlil Plus

   18 May 2026, 20:23 UTC

   The public source was preserved as the evidence record for this case.

5. Market predictions extracted

   18 May 2026, 20:48 UTC

   1 eligible signal linked to this case.

6. Outcome tracking started

   02 Jul 2026, 01:22 UTC

   Tahlil Plus began monitoring the extracted predictions.