Prediction Case File
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1 extracted signal · 0 resolved · 1 still active

MegaWhale Crypto profile imageMegaWhale CryptoIndependent analyst profile
Source published
11 Nov 2025, 06:00 UTC
Recorded by Tahlil Plus
18 May 2026, 20:23 UTC
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Source overview

AI-generated source summary

The analysis outlines a comprehensive technical view of Bitcoin using weekly and two-week charts, focusing on potential bearish triggers. Bitcoin's current price is at $105,819, and it's bouncing from $100,000 back to $105,000 but macro charts still present major warning signs, suggesting further downward corrections.The analysis identifies critical bear market triggers, including a weekly breakdown of the 50 EMA and Gaussian Channel, plus the loss of a long-standing horizontal level on the RSI, which is a reflection of the momentum throughout the period between 2022 and present. A crucial level to watch is $98,000 as subsequent support; losing this could activate high time frame bearish triggers and lead to an extended macro correction, down to $52000.On the two-week chart, a break below the uptrend and a loss of the $98,000 support could confirm the long-term trend to be bearish. To invalidate the bearish sentiment, Bitcoin needs to break above $108,000 on the two-week chart. A review of altcoin and total cryptocurrency market caps also reinforces this view; staying below $3.65 trillion indicates further downward potential. A rising wedge pattern has broken down, indicating further weakness and a move to test support

AI-generated summary based on the source content.

Live evaluation

Signal outcomes at a glance

Tracking Live
Signals
1
Extracted from this source
Open
1
Still being tracked
Successful
0
Resolved successfully
Failed
0
Resolved unsuccessfully
Other
0
Cancelled, invalid or excluded
Resolved success
0 resolved; open signals omitted
Extracted intelligence

Signals in this source

Case timeline

Evidence and evaluation progress

  1. Original source published

    The analyst published the original source item.

  2. Source recorded by Tahlil Plus

    The public source was preserved as the evidence record for this case.

  3. Market predictions extracted

    1 eligible signal linked to this case.

  4. Outcome tracking started

    Tahlil Plus began monitoring the extracted predictions.

  5. Live evaluation in progress

    1 signal remains active.

Analyst snapshot

MegaWhale Crypto

Platform-wide history, separate from this source evaluation.

Reliability
47.1
Tracked signals
238
Historical success
33.4%
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Methodology & disclosure

Tahlil Plus independently records and evaluates public market predictions. Extraction may be AI-assisted and results follow the Tahlil Plus methodology. This information is not financial advice.

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