Prediction Case File
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Bitcoin just closed its first red October since 2018 as Jerome Powell’s hawkish tone spooked the markets and triggered a brutal sell-off across crypto. In this week’s livestream, we break down what went wrong — and why November might be setting up for a big comeback.

2 extracted signals · 2 resolved · 0 still active

Coin Bureau profile imageCoin Bureau03 Nov 2025, 19:03 UTC
Video preview for Bitcoin just closed its first red October since 2018 as Jerome Powell’s hawkish tone spooked the markets and triggered a brutal sell-off across crypto. In this week’s livestream, we break down what went wrong — and why November might be setting up for a big comeback.
Signals
2
Eligible signals in this source
Open
0
Still being tracked
Resolved
2
Evaluable outcomes
Successful
0
Canonical correct result
Failed
2
Canonical failed result
Resolved success
0%
Open and excluded signals omitted
Source overview

AI-generated source summary

The analysis identifies Bitcoin's (BTC) recent performance as bearish, specifically noting its failure to hold bullish momentum and its close below key moving averages, such as the 200-day SMA and 50-day EMA. The current price is around $16,905, with a target of $100,000 and an invalidation level at $35,000, suggesting a potential bullish reversal if the $100k target is not met. However, the analyst also highlights that if BTC closes below $35,000, it could signal further downside. The Ethereum (ETH) price is around $3,735, with a bullish target of $4,000 and a bearish invalidation point at $2,900. The analysis notes that ETH has maintained its support around the 200-day SMA and 50-day EMA, which has held for months, indicating potential resilience. LINK/USDT is trading around $16.088, with a target of $17.50 and a failure bound at $13.50. The analyst points out that while other cryptocurrencies have seen outflows, LINK has experienced inflows, suggesting stronger underlying demand. The video also touches on macroeconomic factors like interest rate hikes and inflation, as well as specific news events like the Meta IPO and potential government shutdowns, as influences on market sentiment. The overall sentiment suggests a cautiously optimistic stance for Q4 2025, with resilience in liquidy conditions and a strong macro backdrop supporting potential upside, despite ongoing regulatory uncertainties. The analysis also flags potential regulatory hurdles and the importance of monitoring on-chain data for shifts in investor behavior.

AI-generated summary based on the source content.

Case timeline

Evidence and evaluation progress

  1. Original source published

    The analyst published the original source item.

  2. Source recorded by Tahlil Plus

    The public source was preserved as the evidence record for this case.

  3. Market predictions extracted

    2 eligible signals linked to this case.

  4. Source processing completed

    Source analysis and structured extraction completed.

  5. Outcome tracking started

    Tahlil Plus began monitoring the extracted predictions.

  6. First prediction resolved

    The first evaluable outcome in this case reached a terminal result.

  7. Case evaluation completed

    All evaluable predictions in this case reached terminal outcomes.

Extracted intelligence

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Coin Bureau

Tracked signals
178
Historical success
21.9%
Methodology & disclosure

Tahlil Plus independently records and evaluates public market predictions. Extraction may be AI-assisted and results follow the Tahlil Plus methodology. This information is not financial advice.