Prediction Case File
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Bitcoin Supply & Loss

1 extracted signal · 0 resolved · 1 still active

Aaron Bennett profile imageAaron Bennett18 Jun 2026, 03:51 UTC
Video preview for Bitcoin Supply & Loss
Signals
1
Eligible signals in this source
Open
1
Still being tracked
Resolved
0
Evaluable outcomes
Successful
0
Canonical correct result
Failed
0
Canonical failed result
Resolved success
Not enough data
Open and excluded signals omitted
Source overview

AI-generated source summary

The video analyzes Bitcoin (BTC) supply dynamics, indicating that over half of the total supply is now held at an unrealized loss. This condition has historically coincided with every major bear market bottom. The analysis points out that when the 'Total Supply in Loss' (red line) crosses the 'Total Supply in Profit' (orange line) and touches those lines, it signifies the bottom of a bear market. Currently, the video suggests that this condition is met, implying that Bitcoin might be at or near a bear market bottom. Based on this historical pattern, a bullish outlook is predicted, with an inferred target price of $80,000, and a failure bound set at $55,000, below which the bullish thesis would be invalidated.

AI-generated summary based on the source content.

Case timeline

Evidence and evaluation progress

  1. Original source published

    The analyst published the original source item.

  2. Source recorded by Tahlil Plus

    The public source was preserved as the evidence record for this case.

  3. Market predictions extracted

    1 eligible signal linked to this case.

  4. Source processing completed

    Source analysis and structured extraction completed.

  5. Outcome tracking started

    Tahlil Plus began monitoring the extracted predictions.

  6. Live evaluation in progress

    1 signal remains active.

Extracted intelligence

Signals in this source

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Analyst history

Aaron Bennett

Tracked signals
372
Historical success
38.9%
Methodology & disclosure

Tahlil Plus independently records and evaluates public market predictions. Extraction may be AI-assisted and results follow the Tahlil Plus methodology. This information is not financial advice.