Prediction Case File
YouTubeEvaluation Complete

ASML is one of the leading suppliers to the semiconductor manufacturing industry.

1 extracted signal · 1 resolved · 0 still active

Parkev Tatevosian, CFA profile imageParkev Tatevosian, CFA18 Oct 2025, 17:45 UTC
Video preview for ASML is one of the leading suppliers to the semiconductor manufacturing industry.
Signals
1
Eligible signals in this source
Open
0
Still being tracked
Resolved
1
Evaluable outcomes
Successful
0
Canonical correct result
Failed
1
Canonical failed result
Resolved success
0%
Open and excluded signals omitted
Source overview

AI-generated source summary

The video discusses the financial performance and outlook of ASML. In the most recently completed quarter, third-quarter net sales came in at €7.5 billion. The gross margin for the quarter was 51.6%, and they anticipate it will move closer to 60%. Q3 net income was €2.1 billion, representing 28.3% of total net sales. Q3 net system bookings came in at €5.4 billion, split between €3.6 billion in EUV systems and €1.8 billion in non-EUV systems. They intend to announce a new share buyback program in January 2026. They expect Q4 total net sales to be between €9.2 billion and €9.8 billion, with installed base management sales around €2.1 billion, and a gross margin for Q4 is expected to be between 51% and 53%. China's total net sales in 2026 are expected to decline significantly. The fundamental analysis rates the intrinsic value per share at $692.91, far from the current market price of $1015.51.

AI-generated summary based on the source content.

Case timeline

Evidence and evaluation progress

  1. Original source published

    The analyst published the original source item.

  2. First prediction resolved

    The first evaluable outcome in this case reached a terminal result.

  3. Case evaluation completed

    All evaluable predictions in this case reached terminal outcomes.

  4. Source recorded by Tahlil Plus

    The public source was preserved as the evidence record for this case.

  5. Market predictions extracted

    1 eligible signal linked to this case.

  6. Outcome tracking started

    Tahlil Plus began monitoring the extracted predictions.

Extracted intelligence

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Analyst history

Parkev Tatevosian, CFA

Tracked signals
1097
Historical success
24.1%
Methodology & disclosure

Tahlil Plus independently records and evaluates public market predictions. Extraction may be AI-assisted and results follow the Tahlil Plus methodology. This information is not financial advice.