Nvidia is at a critical technical level. A weekly close above $179.82 would confirm a breakout with a target of $219.64. But if it fails, the stock switches into a sell mode. Friday’s close will decide whether bulls remain in control or the downtrend begins.

AI-generated source summary

The analysis focuses on NVDA, noting a push through 178.04 which is a two and half year channel top but fell away and closed the week below it, keeping the market in sell mode over a 2-3 month timeframe. Anticipating a bearish rotation back to 149.64 channel top over the next 2-3 months. Right now is back above 178.04. Wednesday of last week, the price closed above this structure by the required 1% margin. On Monday's close above 177.96, could support that in terms of a swing trade as an upward continuation to 185.67, a rising channel top. 183.30 is nothing more than last Thursday's high and could double top there on an intraday basis. If we push through 183.30, we just might reach 185.67 today. But is not convinced of the likelihood for bullish continuation through the rest of the third quarter and into the fourth. Unless closing Friday at 179.82 or higher. Could rally up to 185.67 today and test that area Tuesday-Wednesday and fall back Thursday-Friday to close the week at or below 179.82 even 178.04. If we close above 185.67 today, then the odds do begin to favor a settlement for the week itself on Friday at 179.82 or higher. Could see testing the area today, but closing above is not likely. If close above it Wednesday 186.39, an early lead on a long term buy signal. Entering at least a partial long position and then the balance would be a Friday settlement of 179.82 or higher. Breaking 177.96 will allow 173.72.

AI-generated summary based on the source content.

Evidence and evaluation progress

1. Original source published

   05 Aug 2025, 16:58 UTC

   The analyst published the original source item.

2. First prediction resolved

   20 Aug 2025, 13:30 UTC

   The first evaluable outcome in this case reached a terminal result.

3. Case evaluation completed

   20 Aug 2025, 13:30 UTC

   All evaluable predictions in this case reached terminal outcomes.

4. Source recorded by Tahlil Plus

   18 May 2026, 20:23 UTC

   The public source was preserved as the evidence record for this case.

5. Market predictions extracted

   18 May 2026, 20:47 UTC

   1 eligible signal linked to this case.

6. Outcome tracking started

   02 Jul 2026, 02:13 UTC

   Tahlil Plus began monitoring the extracted predictions.