Live coverage of Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's speech today in Rhode Island, his first public comments since the central bank cut interest rates last week.

AI-generated source summary

The analyst assesses the Fed's economic outlook, referring to a Fed Governor's statement citing potential labor market fragility and the need to adjust policy at a faster pace. It mentions the FOMC's view that July should have seen policy rate easing. The analyst points out using the term "fragility" signals new, potentially negative data regarding job statistics and emphasizes recent data points to recent data revealing a more fragile labor market. The Polymarket data indicate a 65% expectation for three 25 bps rate cuts which would result in two more from October onward. Analyst emphasizes silver having good movement.

AI-generated summary based on the source content.

Evidence and evaluation progress

1. Original source published

   23 Sept 2025, 21:53 UTC

   The analyst published the original source item.

2. First prediction resolved

   23 Sept 2025, 22:00 UTC

   The first evaluable outcome in this case reached a terminal result.

3. Case evaluation completed

   23 Sept 2025, 22:00 UTC

   All evaluable predictions in this case reached terminal outcomes.

4. Source recorded by Tahlil Plus

   18 May 2026, 20:23 UTC

   The public source was preserved as the evidence record for this case.

5. Market predictions extracted

   18 May 2026, 20:47 UTC

   1 eligible signal linked to this case.

6. Outcome tracking started

   02 Jul 2026, 01:22 UTC

   Tahlil Plus began monitoring the extracted predictions.