The analysis focuses on Ethereum (ETHUSDT), predicting a potential drop to $4000, possibly lower, before a bullish rally towards $5000. The analyst notes bearish sentiment despite the bullish price. ETHBTC analysis reveals that the trend is still bullish. The analyst suggests that after the price is tested, it will continue into 5000 dollars and higher. The analysis emphasizes the importance of a speech in the same day. Support can be found at 3800, but may go lower to the 30 day rolling VWAP. If the outcome of the speech is positive, the analysis notes that Ethereum could reclaim the $4400 mark.