Total Quality
Score
If You Had Traded on This Analysis…
Pending

ETHUSDT
Entry
4,234.1800
2025-08-22
12:22 UTC
Target
5,250.0000
Fail
3,195.0000
Risk / Reward
1 : 1
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ETHUSDT
Pending

Body
The analysis suggests that the cryptocurrency market is set to kick off a period of chaos, referencing both Fed Chair Powell's speech at Jackson Hole and Bitcoin's historical performance in September. September is typically the worst month for Bitcoin, with negative returns often seen, especially after halving years. Powell's speech is identified as critical in determining rate cut probabilities for September, potentially impacting market direction based on whether his stance is dovish or hawkish. Historically, Powell's Jackson Hole speeches in 2023 and 2024 have been followed by weakness and volatility. Bitcoin is trading above a major support line and the Bull Market Support Band. It tends to retest this support line around September. In the context of the monthly Bitcoin returns and post halving returns for September tend to be negative. If the rate cut goes down the cryptocurrencies can have a negative reaction. The analyst sets the Bitcoin target price to 145000 and if it cross 79709 the analysis should be invalidated. Ethereum is setting up nicely, with target price of 5250. Altcoins may have their most positive price action in Q4, the Altcoin/Ethereum pair is oversold.