Total Quality
Score
If You Had Traded on This Analysis…
Fail
BTCUSDT
Entry 113,343.0000 2025-08-20 02:39 UTC
Target 109,909.0000
Fail 115,959.0000 In 2 Days
Risk / Reward 1 : 1
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Final PnL
-2.31%
P/L:
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BTCUSDT
Fail
Cryptocurrency
Technical
1H
Analysis Predict Bear Market
Body
The analysis focuses on the short-term chart for Bitcoin (BTCUSD) on a one-hour timeframe. The speaker discusses a potential five-wave decline, suggesting that such a pattern would confirm a major top formation. A support zone is identified between $101,569.85 and $112,954.34. A key line in the sand is set at $101,569 for this scenario. The speaker mentions adjusting a support zone based on the price action, noting that a previous zone isn't invalidated but refined. Due to the price retracing to the August low, and microstructures misaligning with a 1-2 setup, it is assumed a larger wave 4 is unfolding. A five wave move down is necessary to confirm a major top, or it is not possible to confirm such level. The speaker points out that, unless a break above $115,948.63 happens, downward pressure will continue. Fibonacci support is noted at around $112,954. A WXY structure with an ABC within Y is possible. On a 15 minutes chart, a five-wave move down on Wave C, and that micro support levels could lead the price to 111k. A breakout of the green line near 114k would indicate a low has formed.
Principled
Comprehensible
Accurate
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