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This analysis has a 99.79% probability of being Failure

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Score
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Fail
LULU
Long Entry 200.4600 2025-08-13 15:45 UTC
Target 280.6800 Fail 170.0000 In 3 Weeks
Risk/Reward 1 : 3
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Final PnL
-15.20%
P/L:
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LULU
Fail
Stocks
Fundamental
1H
Analysis Predict Bull Market
This is a fundamental analysis comparing Nike (NKE) and Lululemon (LULU) stocks, specifically reviewing their revenue growth, profit margins, and return on invested capital. Nike's revenue increased from $31 billion to $46 billion over the last decade (CAGR 4.5%) but has decelerated with declining revenues from the previous year due to tariffs and consumer behavior changes. A strategy change to prioritize wholesale segment. Nike has a goal to make a partnership with Amazon and new CEO wants to become a Premium brand to cut sales to increase price. Lululemon's revenue has grown over 5x in the past decade from $2.1 billion to $10.7 billion (CAGR 19.5%). LULU is still in the early stages to expand its product, men’s wear. Nike has a large brand equity than Lululemon, but both are planning less promotional activity. Operating profit margin: Lulu has been improving, Nike worsening. Return on invested capital, Lululemon is better than NIKE. Nike undervalue share price is $48.48. Nike to follow a more Premium brand selling and cutting promotional deals with a strong brand is now signaling to others. At the moment in the actual market price Nike is overvalued and Lulu is undervalued.
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