Total Quality
Score
If You Had Traded on This Analysis…
Pending
BTCUSDT
Long Entry
92,812.6000
2025-12-04
16:32 UTC
Target
250,000.0000
Fail
50,000.0000
Risk/Reward
1 : 4
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Live PnL
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Bitcoin closed November at $90,000, a 30% dip from its all-time high. The $100,000 support level didn't hold. The stock to flow level suggests a $500,000 target, but the RSI at 55 is bearish. The four-year cycle after the halving is also bearish. Three scenarios are considered: a bear market similar to 2014, 2018, or 2022, which could lead to a 50% drop from here down to $50,000; a pre-bull market like 2019; or a new normal with the RSI ranging between 55 and 75 due to institutional investors, resulting in rebalancing by institutions that buy at dips and sell at highs, maintaining the Bitcoin price in range. The moving average and realized price suggest a bull market ahead. Also, moving average and the realized prices are both around $56000.
