@moneyvestpro

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Avg. Quality

74

Success Rate

44.07

Analysis

683
Correct
301
Fail
328
Pending
48
Ineffective
0
Total Quality
Score
If You Had Traded on This Analysis…
Correct
NFLX
Short Entry 83.5300 2026-01-22 18:30 UTC
Target 82.0000 In 2 Weeks Fail 95.0000
Risk/Reward 1 : 0
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Final PnL
1.83%
P/L:
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NFLX
Correct
Stocks
Fundamental
1H
Analysis Predict Bear Market
The analyst performs a fundamental valuation of Netflix (NFLX) using a 5-year discounted earnings model. Key inputs include a 2025 net income of $10.98 billion and an expected EPS growth rate of 19% over the forecast period. The analysis assumes no share buybacks are conducted, impacting future share count. By calculating a forward P/E multiple of 28 based on current market capitalization of $390 billion and projected 2026 net income of $13.76 billion, the fair value of NFLX is estimated at approximately $81.99. At a current share price of $85.36, the analyst concludes that NFLX is trading slightly above its calculated fair value. The strategy advised is to acquire shares when the price is at or below $82, further aiming to reduce the cost basis by selling covered calls, implying a long-term bullish outlook from the desired acquisition price.
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Accurate
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