@ThomasBoletoTrader

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Analysis

203
Correct
82
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106
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BTCUSDT
Short Entry 96,271.1000 2026-01-15 07:08 UTC
Target 94,000.0000 Fail 97,000.0000
Risk/Reward 1 : 3
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BTCUSDT
Cryptocurrency
Technical
1H
Analysis Predict Bear Market
The analysis indicates a potential short-term bearish correction for Bitcoin and Ethereum, while USDT dominance is expected to rise. For BTCUSDT on the daily chart, the price is at 96365.3, having touched the 100-period moving average. Two daily scenarios are considered: a bounce leading to a dump, or a close above the 100 MA targeting 105000. A symmetric triangle breakout also points to a 105000 target. However, the analysis highlights a bearish divergence on the 4-hour Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTCUSDT, suggesting caution and a potential dump to test the lower boundary of an ascending channel around 92000-93000. A double top pattern on the 30-minute timeframe, with a neckline around 95500, further reinforces a bearish outlook, recommending a short entry if the pattern breaks down, targeting 94000 with an invalidation above 97000. USDT Dominance on the 4-hour chart, currently at 5.77%, is within a downtrend channel but shows a bullish divergence, implying a potential upward move to test the channel's top around 6.1%. This rise in USDT dominance typically corresponds to a bearish trend in cryptocurrencies. For ETHUSDT, trading at 3319.78 on the 4-hour chart, it has touched a strong resistance zone around 3350-3400. The presence of a symmetric triangle and an ascending channel suggests a potential decline to test their lower boundaries around 3100-3150. A bearish divergence is also noted on the RSI for ETHUSDT, further supporting a short-term bearish outlook, with an invalidation if price surpasses 3400.
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