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Avg. Quality
70
Success Rate
43.61
Analysis
954
Correct
416
Fail
448
Pending
83
Ineffective
0
Total Quality
Score
If You Had Traded on This Analysis…
Pending
RDW
Long Entry
11.0200
2026-01-15
04:57 UTC
Target
13.5100
Fail
10.6200
Risk/Reward
1 : 6
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The analysis for Redwire Corporation (RDW) on January 14, 2026, presents an overall upgraded "Strong Buy Candidate" recommendation for the next three months. The stock has demonstrated a 22.04% gain over the last nine days since its initial strong buy signal, with a 38.79% increase over the past two weeks. Technically, RDW is in a strong short-term upward trend, supported by positive signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages. A buy signal was identified from a pivot bottom on November 20, 2025, leading to a 117.79% appreciation. Further increases are anticipated, with a 3-month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) buy signal and rising trading volume. Resistance levels are noted around $11.08 and $11.45, while support is found at $10.98, $10.51, and $7.67. A suggested stop-loss is placed at $10.62. Fundamentally, insider filings revealed Ae Red Holdings sold $5.1 million shares at $10.80 in early January, a potential short-term negative pressure. However, management's brand consolidation and strategic wins with ESA programs contribute to a positive long-term outlook. European sales surged in FY24, and the stock benefited from broader market excitement around the 2026 SpaceX IPO. A significant concern is the negative P/E ratio of -5.42, indicating negative earnings, with Q4 2025 earnings consensus estimated at -$0.16. Despite these mixed signals, particularly the high volatility (13.06% weekly) and very high risk classification, the analysis concludes with an expectation of further gains. The current price is $11.02, with an inferred 3-month target price of $13.51.