@ECKrown
YouTube
Avg. Quality
72
Success Rate
43.04
Analysis
79
Correct
34
Fail
37
Pending
8
Ineffective
0
Total Quality
Score
If You Had Traded on This Analysis…
Pending
XAUUSD
Long Entry
4,610.7000
2026-01-15
20:43 UTC
Target
5,000.0000
Fail
3,800.0000
Risk/Reward
1 : 0
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The analysis focuses on the Bitcoin/Gold ratio (BTCXAU) and Gold Spot (XAUUSD) for the year 2026 and beyond, using various higher timeframes including weekly, monthly, quarterly, and semi-annual charts. For BTCXAU, the chart currently shows a downtrend since August 2025, with a symmetrical triangle formation resolving to the downside, having already met its interim target. The price is currently near range lows established since January 2024. A short-term bounce is anticipated within the 22.00 to 23.50 range, but this is viewed as a temporary reprieve rather than a long-term reversal. Technical indicators like the weekly MACD show signs of a potential bullish cross in the histogram, supporting a short-term bounce. However, the quarterly stochastic momentum oscillator has crossed to the downside, historically signaling cycle ends. Previous corrections in 2022 and 2018 saw drawdowns of approximately 62% and 51.5% respectively, both occurring over around 273 days after the stochastic cross. Applying this historical pattern to the current cycle, a major low for BTCXAU is expected around the end of Q2/beginning of Q3 2026, with a target around the yellow 21 EMA on the 6-month chart, approximately 15.50. For Gold Spot (XAUUSD), the market is perceived to be in the final stages of a parabolic blow-off top, with a target price of 5000. Following this peak, a significant correction down to approximately 3000 is anticipated, possibly a couple of years later. Currently, Gold Spot is in a strong bullish phase, likely to continue its upward trajectory before a major reversal.