@ice_wallow_crypto

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Avg. Quality

72

Success Rate

29.37

Analysis

126
Correct
37
Fail
79
Pending
10
Ineffective
0
Total Quality
Score
If You Had Traded on This Analysis…
Fail
ADAUSDT
Long Entry 0.4293 2025-12-07 17:39 UTC
Target 0.5180 Fail 0.3860 In 1 Weeks
Risk/Reward 1 : 2
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Final PnL
-10.09%
P/L:
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ADAUSDT
Fail
Cryptocurrency
Technical
1H
Analysis Predict Bull Market
On the 4-hour ADAUSD chart, a 1-2 setup is in progress, with the price consolidating at the 50% support level for approximately two days. Confirmation of a low requires breaking above the moving average on the 4-hour RSI, then breaching the established trendline, which has historically acted as resistance multiple times. Success would enable focus on a third wave with a target of 0.518 USD. To reach this target, a break above 0.471 USD is necessary. On the daily ADAUSD chart, the price remains above a trendline and moving average, signaling a potential cessation of the downtrend and the possible initiation of a third wave within a larger 1-2 setup. Conversely, a drop below 0.386 USD on the weekly chart would suggest an alternative setup, potentially an ABC for a second wave, aiming for 0.318 USD, pushing the weekly RSI into oversold territory—a historically significant bullish signal. For BTCUSD, on the 4-hour chart, the expectation is to complete the C-wave of a 1-2 AB structure, targeting 101,000 USD. This bullish projection is contingent on maintaining position above the 4-hour RSI moving average. Invalidation occurs if the price drops below the 0.786 support level of the B-wave at 85,900 USD, which would suggest a movement into a fifth wave of a larger 1-2-3-4-5 bearish setup, potentially targeting 70,000 USD. On the weekly BTCUSD chart, remaining above the RSI moving average could lead to a bounce towards the bull market support band. The analysis emphasizes the significance of staying above a historical trendline on the weekly RSI, noting that breaching it, as seen during the 2020 pandemic drop, could confirm a bear market. However, the main scenario anticipates holding this trendline and eventually testing another higher trendline.
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