@parkevtatevosiancfa9544
YouTube
Avg. Quality
75
Success Rate
17.22
Analysis
546
Correct
94
Fail
281
Pending
169
Ineffective
0
Total Quality
Score
If You Had Traded on This Analysis…
Pending
QCOM
Long Entry
175.3200
2025-12-08
18:45 UTC
Target
205.0000
Fail
156.9200
Risk/Reward
1 : 2
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The analysis of Qualcomm (QCOM) indicates a buy opportunity for long-term investors beginning in 2026. The company has demonstrated strong revenue growth over the past decade, with projections showing a rebound to $44.3 billion by 2025, following a dip in 2023. Diversification into automotive, personal computers, and IoT is expected to mitigate reliance on the smartphone segment, where major clients are developing proprietary technology. Qualcomm's Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), excluding an outlier in 2018, consistently averaged between 20-25%. While the current ROIC stands at 14.9%, it remains above the company's weighted average cost of capital. Cash flow to sales ratios exhibit typical semiconductor industry volatility, averaging 25-30% with an observable trend of higher lows, suggesting improving underlying strength. Valuation metrics further support the buy recommendation. The forward P/E ratio is 14, and the forward Price to Operating Cash Flow ratio is 13, both deemed attractive. A discounted cash flow (DCF) model estimates an intrinsic value per share of $205, significantly above the current market price of $174.35. Accounting for a 5-10% margin of safety, both valuation methods suggest QCOM is currently undervalued. The anticipated price target is $205, with a fail range below $156.92 should the market trend turn bearish.