@VisionPulsed

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Analysis

286
Correct
38
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210
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Pending
BTCUSDT
Long Entry 90,595.5000 2025-12-08 20:45 UTC
Target 104,000.0000 Fail 79,000.0000
Risk/Reward 1 : 1
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BTCUSDT
Cryptocurrency
Technical
1H
Analysis Predict Bull Market
The analysis indicates a commencing relief rally for Bitcoin, having technically initiated approximately three weeks prior to the analysis date, around November 21st. Bitcoin is currently at $91,478.44. The immediate target for this rally is projected to be between $103,000 and $104,000. Historically, Bitcoin's breach of key bull market indicators, including the Gaussian Channel and the 8-day moving average, has often preceded market capitulation, as observed in 2022. Remaining above $80,000 is critical to avoid a full bear market capitulation. A potential long-term bullish target of $145,000 is suggested if resistance is decisively broken, while failure could lead to a drop towards $50,000. The Stochastic RSI on the 4-day chart shows an upward curl, supporting short-term bullish momentum. The critical period for a definitive bull market breakout is identified around February, requiring Bitcoin to surpass $107,000. Failure to achieve this in a timely manner (within approximately 77 days) could invalidate the four-year cycle theory. For Dogecoin, currently at $0.1429, a similar relief rally is anticipated towards $0.20. Historical analysis of Dogecoin's performance following Bitcoin's peaks in 2014, 2017, and 2022 reveals significant drawdowns of 60% to 80%. If Dogecoin reaches $0.20 by February, a subsequent 70% retracement would position its price at $0.05. Conversely, a breakout above $0.20 would signal a robust bull market, with potential targets exceeding $0.70. All attention is directed towards Bitcoin's price action until February, as its performance will dictate the broader market trajectory for both Bitcoin and Dogecoin. For Bitcoin, a price below $79,000 would invalidate the relief rally, and for Dogecoin, a price below $0.12 would invalidate its relief rally.
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