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TSLA
Short Entry 446.9400 2025-12-12 02:40 UTC
Target 132.7300 Fail 491.9400
Risk/Reward 1 : 7
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TSLA
Stocks
Fundamental
1H
Analysis Predict Bear Market
The analysis compares NVIDIA and Tesla's financial performance over the last decade, focusing on revenue growth, Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), and Cash Flow to Sales (OCF/Sales) ratios. NVIDIA has demonstrated superior revenue growth, escalating from $27 billion to $130 billion, particularly since 2023. In contrast, Tesla's revenue experienced a slight decline from $96.8 billion to $95.6 billion during the same period. Regarding profitability, NVIDIA's ROIC has remarkably exceeded 175.1%, a level the analyst questions for long-term sustainability, projecting a potential decline within two years. Conversely, Tesla's ROIC has sharply deteriorated from 30% in 2022 to 4.9%, anticipated to fall further due to increased investment in driverless technology amidst declining electric vehicle sales and the removal of US tax credits. In terms of operational efficiency, NVIDIA's OCF/Sales ratio stands at 49.1%, nearly three times higher than Tesla's 16.5%. Both companies showed improvement in this metric; NVIDIA from 24% and Tesla from -2% previously. Intrinsic value calculations reveal a significant divergence: NVIDIA's intrinsic value is assessed at $199.42 against a current market price of $184.31, suggesting it is fairly to slightly undervalued. Tesla, however, is calculated to have an intrinsic value of $132.73 versus a current market price of $447.22, indicating substantial overvaluation. The analysis concludes that NVIDIA represents a superior investment opportunity over Tesla.
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