@JacobCryptoBury

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60

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25.93

Analysis

135
Correct
35
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76
Pending
24
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Pending
BTCUSDT
Short Entry 90,237.7000 2025-12-13 00:00 UTC
Target 64,500.0000 Fail 110,000.0000
Risk/Reward 1 : 1
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BTCUSDT
Cryptocurrency
Technical
1H
Analysis Predict Bear Market
The analysis provides a technical market assessment, focusing on the total cryptocurrency market capitalization and Bitcoin. For the total crypto market, the current market cap is indicated as approximately $3.11 trillion. Comparative cycle analysis suggests a historical pattern of market movement, with an observation that the duration from the 2018 bottom to the 2021 peak was 1066 days, aligning with the current cycle's progression from its 2022 bottom over 1065 days. A previous market correction was noted at 77.33% from the bull market top to its subsequent bottom. The speaker forecasts a potential downside for the total market, projecting a target of $2 trillion as a worst-case scenario within the next year, implying a further bearish trajectory. Should the total market cap exceed $3.5 trillion, this bearish outlook would be invalidated. Regarding Bitcoin (BTCUSD), currently trading around $92,349.47, the analysis notes its position below the 50-week moving average, indicating a bearish market condition. Historical precedent shows a rejection from this moving average in January 2022 led to a 357-day downtrend. Applying a similar pattern, the speaker anticipates a retest of resistance around $102,000 for Bitcoin, potentially preceding a decline towards an accumulation zone of $64,500. This projected bearish phase is estimated to span approximately 336 days. A price movement above $110,000 would negate this immediate bearish prediction. Following this anticipated accumulation, a gradual recovery is expected, leading to a parabolic increase potentially surpassing $160,000.
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