@JacobCryptoBury
YouTube
Avg. Quality
60
Success Rate
25.93
Analysis
135
Correct
35
Fail
76
Pending
24
Ineffective
0
Total Quality
Score
If You Had Traded on This Analysis…
Pending
BTCUSDT
Short Entry
90,237.7000
2025-12-13
00:00 UTC
Target
64,500.0000
Fail
110,000.0000
Risk/Reward
1 : 1
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The analysis provides a technical market assessment, focusing on the total cryptocurrency market capitalization and Bitcoin. For the total crypto market, the current market cap is indicated as approximately $3.11 trillion. Comparative cycle analysis suggests a historical pattern of market movement, with an observation that the duration from the 2018 bottom to the 2021 peak was 1066 days, aligning with the current cycle's progression from its 2022 bottom over 1065 days. A previous market correction was noted at 77.33% from the bull market top to its subsequent bottom. The speaker forecasts a potential downside for the total market, projecting a target of $2 trillion as a worst-case scenario within the next year, implying a further bearish trajectory. Should the total market cap exceed $3.5 trillion, this bearish outlook would be invalidated.
Regarding Bitcoin (BTCUSD), currently trading around $92,349.47, the analysis notes its position below the 50-week moving average, indicating a bearish market condition. Historical precedent shows a rejection from this moving average in January 2022 led to a 357-day downtrend. Applying a similar pattern, the speaker anticipates a retest of resistance around $102,000 for Bitcoin, potentially preceding a decline towards an accumulation zone of $64,500. This projected bearish phase is estimated to span approximately 336 days. A price movement above $110,000 would negate this immediate bearish prediction. Following this anticipated accumulation, a gradual recovery is expected, leading to a parabolic increase potentially surpassing $160,000.