@MegaWhaleCrypto

YouTube

Avg. Quality

79

Success Rate

20.00

Analysis

75
Correct
15
Fail
46
Pending
14
Ineffective
0
Total Quality
Score
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BTCUSDT
Short Entry 104,378.0000 2025-11-04 06:01 UTC
Target 50,000.0000 Fail 120,000.0000
Risk/Reward 1 : 3
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BTCUSDT
Pending
Cryptocurrency
Technical
1H
Analysis Predict Bear Market
The analysis presents a macro overview of Bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency market, alongside DXY and S&P500. A critical warning signal has been identified on the 2-week chart for Bitcoin, suggesting a potential shift towards a bear market. Historical cycle analysis, particularly the 1064-day theory, suggests a cycle top around October 2025. Although factors like delayed Fed rate cuts and institutional adoption could extend this phase, a significant deviation from historical patterns beyond November 5, 2025, would imply a broken cycle. Bitcoin's current price, at approximately $106,414.7, has breached a key support at $107,000, indicating a transitionary phase. The anticipated macro target for Bitcoin is $50,000, with an invalidated scenario above $120,000. Similarly, the total crypto market cap, currently at $1.88 trillion, and altcoin market cap, at $1.18 trillion, are breaking below significant support levels, projecting a bearish outlook with inferred targets of $1.0 trillion and $0.7 trillion, respectively, and fail points at $2.2 trillion and $1.4 trillion. Conversely, the DXY is in a bullish trend, aiming for a target of $106.00, with a risk of invalidation below $95.00. The S&P500 is showing signs of a bearish reversal from its recent peak, targeting $6,300, with the bearish premise negated if it ascends above $7,000.
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