@Swan_Bitcoin
YouTube
Avg. Quality
63
Success Rate
9.38
Analysis
32
Correct
3
Fail
20
Pending
8
Ineffective
0
Total Quality
Score
If You Had Traded on This Analysis…
Pending
BTCUSDT
Long Entry
87,177.9000
2025-12-24
03:20 UTC
Target
150,000.0000
Fail
60,651.5000
Risk/Reward
1 : 2
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The analysis projects that 2025, initially anticipated for a major Bitcoin breakout, saw price stagnation and confidence erosion due to a sluggish US economy. Macro analyst Jeff Ross asserts that Bitcoin's historical four-year cycle framework is now obsolete, with its price movements closely tied to global and US economic performance, particularly the manufacturing sector's prolonged recession since 2022. Ross forecasts a positive shift in 2026, driven by new fiscal legislation and accounting standards, contingent on the ISM Manufacturing PMI demonstrating sustained expansion. Michael Saylor highlights significant progress in the last 12 months, including regulatory support from key US agencies like the SEC and CFTC, enabling in-kind Bitcoin ETF operations, the expansion of onshore derivatives markets to $50 billion, and regulatory clarity for using Bitcoin as collateral. Saylor also points to the emergence of a digital credit market and major banks integrating Bitcoin custody and credit services, signaling a transition towards balance sheet-driven institutional demand. Jason Lowery proposes Bitcoin as a critical counter-balance to AI, emphasizing its proof-of-work mechanism as a physical anchor that enforces reality through tangible energy costs, essential in a world where AI drives computational intelligence towards zero. This convergence of economic recovery, AI infrastructure build-out, and Bitcoin's evolving financial and functional integration is anticipated to drive a significant shift beyond speculative trading towards fundamental, long-term adoption in 2026 and beyond.