@CilinixCrypto

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Avg. Quality

73

Success Rate

46.41

Analysis

571
Correct
265
Fail
305
Pending
1
Ineffective
0
Total Quality
Score
If You Had Traded on This Analysis…
Fail
BTCUSDT
Short Entry 86,940.1000 2025-12-23 15:04 UTC
Target 86,000.0000 Fail 89,500.0000 In 2 Days
Risk/Reward 1 : 0
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Final PnL
-2.94%
P/L:
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BTCUSDT
Fail
Cryptocurrency
Technical
1H
Analysis Predict Bear Market
The analysis focuses on Bitcoin's recent price action, noting a failed breakout attempt on a Monday morning above key resistance levels at 89,100 and 89,300, specifically the 30-day rolling VWAP and quarterly value area low. Following this failure, the price broke down below these critical thresholds. While initially, some lower timeframe absorption indicated spot buying against futures selling, this positive fundamental indicator did not sustain the upward momentum. Currently, order flow does not show significant positive absorption or imbalances. The Coinbase Bitcoin Premium Index is in a growing discount, suggesting increased selling pressure on Coinbase, which is deemed negative for price action. Given these factors, the short-term outlook for Bitcoin is bearish, with an anticipated move lower towards 86,500 to 86,000. Should this primary support fail, further downside targets are identified at 83,000 and subsequently 81,000, aligning with a previous year's value area high. The general direction is expected to be a downward movement. While the long-term outlook remains bullish, a short-term correction is expected.
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