The analyst discusses XLM, currently trading around 0.36 cents. He evaluates potential long-term holds, considering worst-case scenarios where altcoins typically drop 80-90% after hitting the first take profit level. He uses Fibonacci extensions to measure potential drawdowns from a 3.89 target. An 80% drawdown from 3.89 results in a 0.75 target, and a 90% drawdown results in a 0.35 target, roughly break even. If XLM reaches 7.38 and experiences an 80% drawdown, the price target could be 1.39; a 90% drawdown results in a 0.72 price. The analyst suggests that for those who DCA'd at 0.14, 0.08, or 0.07, there is flexibility since entering now at 0.36 would not result in a risk/reward ratio worth a long-term hold, unless it gets to the 7.38 target. For anyone to consider a hold at 0.36, it would not only exceed the first three targets, but it would have to reach a blow off top to the 7.38 target.