The analysis discusses the recent crypto market sell-off, identifying the triggers as over-leveraged positions, a sell-the-news reaction to the Federal Reserve's FOMC meeting, and the historical weakness of September. The FOMC, while cutting interest rates, gave a hawkish view. Despite the recent crash, the analysis makes a bull case for strong Q4, focusing on incoming institutional capital, potential for spot ETF approval for alts like Solana, XRP, and Litecoin with a high chance of approval. Further support is shown by the Federal Reserve's liquidity pipeline and past seasonal trends. A key support level of Bitcoin is identified within a zone of $104,000 and $107,200 to hold to see a 125000 price before year end. The overall forecast for ETH is a climb to 4500 as long as 3900 holds. Potential risks include over-leveraging, recession fears, weak economic data, and the potential to drop, so it’s important to watch levels, all in a 3-month window.